As Biden ponders 2024, this is why some Presidents do not run for reelection

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That is true regardless of Democrats’ possible lack of the Home and perhaps the Senate within the coming midterm elections.

It is true regardless of the inflation that has People souring on the financial system.

It is true regardless of the toll that one other election cycle will tackle his household. Joe Biden’s son Hunter is a frequent goal of the President’s political opponents.

Nevertheless it’s not precisely like different Democrats are stepping as much as problem him to date.

Whereas it appears nearly inconceivable {that a} president at present would bow out after one time period, that hasn’t all the time been the case. I talked to Mark Updegrove, a presidential historian and CEO of the LBJ Basis, about presidents and reelections.

Our dialog, carried out by e mail and edited evenly, is under.

Why presidents nearly all the time run once more

WHAT MATTERS: Presidents nearly all the time run for a second time period. Why?

UPDEGROVE: You do not run for president until you are terribly aggressive and have a wholesome ego. Getting reelected is usually a part of the general proposition. A second time period affords one other probability at profitable on the highest stage.

Furthermore, you do not run for president until you are formidable. 4 years is comparatively fleeting. A president could make a higher mark on the nation and on historical past in eight years.

What would make somebody like Biden rethink?

WHAT MATTERS: Biden is coming underneath some notable strain from fellow Democrats to contemplate not working for reelection. Ought to that be sufficient to make him contemplate bowing out?

UPDEGROVE: No. It needs to be his determination. Biden gained the presidency and has earned the best to find out for himself whether or not he runs for a second time period.

Are there similarities between Biden and LBJ?

WHAT MATTERS: The newest exception to the run-for-reelection rule is Lyndon B. Johnson. Are there any similarities between what led LBJ to announce he would not be a candidate for president in 1968 and what Biden faces now?

UPDEGROVE: Sure. There’s the misperception that LBJ opted to not run once more due solely to the rising controversy and divisions over the warfare in Vietnam. That will have been a part of it, however his principal concern was his well being.

He had had a virtually deadly coronary heart assault in 1955, and his household had a historical past of deadly coronary heart illness. He did not wish to put the nation by the form of disaster we had gone by with the sudden loss of life of FDR in 1945, and Woodrow Wilson’s stroke in 1919, which left him incapacitated.

As he considers working once more, Biden ought to make the identical calculation. The typical life expectancy of an American male is 79. Biden can be 86 on the finish of a second time period.

And even when he lived by the whole thing of a two-term presidency, would he have the bodily and psychological stamina to take care of the inherent strains of the workplace?

Which different presidents bowed out?

WHAT MATTERS: Different examples embody Harry Truman, Calvin Coolidge and Teddy Roosevelt. All of them, like LBJ, assumed a part of the time period of a president who died in workplace after which gained in their very own proper. Would Biden basically be the primary one-term president to easily name it quits if he selected to take action?

UPDEGROVE: No, within the 1800s, James Polk, James Buchanan and Rutherford Hayes declined to run for second phrases.

However Biden may justify one time period given the extraordinary circumstances underneath which he took workplace. He wrested the presidency from Donald Trump as maybe the one Democrat who may, bringing the nation again to higher normalcy. Which may be sufficient. By the identical token, Trump should still be a risk.

What would a Biden post-presidency appear to be?

WHAT MATTERS: Aside from Trump, who is sort of as previous as Biden, most up-to-date presidents had been fairly younger once they left workplace, have had productive lives post-presidencies and lived into their 90s. What may Biden accomplish post-presidency?

UPDEGROVE: Given his superior age, he will not have the runway that our newer former presidents have had.

As with all residing former presidents besides Trump, he’ll possible spend the primary few years writing his memoir and setting the plans for his presidential library.

Afterward, he’ll be in his mid-80s, so we can’t possible see the form of activist post-presidency from him that we have seen from (Jimmy) Carter, (Invoice) Clinton and (Barack) Obama.

How has age affected earlier presidencies?

WHAT MATTERS: CNN’s John Harwood writes well that Biden’s age isn’t his drawback. However it’s what his political opponents cling to of their assaults on him. Has age ever performed such a serious position in a presidency?

UPDEGROVE: There was nice concern that Ronald Reagan was too previous for the presidency when he ran for reelection at age 73 in 1984. He deflected it throughout a debate with the Democratic presidential nominee, Walter Mondale, by quipping, “I’m not going to use, for political functions, my opponent’s youth and inexperience.”

However Reagan misplaced momentum in his second time period, and we now know that he was possible affected by the preliminary phases of Alzheimer’s illness.

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